Newsletters
Customer Relationship Management News NewsFactor Sites:       NewsFactor.com     Enterprise Security Today     CRM Daily     Business Report     Sci-Tech Today  
   
This ad will display for the next 20 seconds. Click for more information, or
Home CRM Systems Customer Service Contact Centers Business Intelligence More Topics...
Microsoft/Windows
24/7/365 Network Uptime!
Average Rating:
Rate this article:  
Will PCs Be Dead and Gone by 2018?
Will PCs Be Dead and Gone by 2018?

By Jennifer LeClaire
March 5, 2014 10:24AM

Bookmark and Share
Market research firm IDC is forecasting the continued decline of the PC over the next four year, due in part to the impact of slower economic growth, as well as pressure from tablets and smartphones. Despite IDC's gloom and doom predictions, PCs won’t go away altogether, said analyst Roger Kay.
 



Has the gloom finally turned into doom for the PC market? Quarter after quarter, the forecast seems to grow worse. Now, market research firm IDC is predicting shipments will decline another six percent in 2014 and continue sliding through 2018.

Here’s the latest: Worldwide PC shipments dipped 9.8% in 2013. Although that was slightly better than the expected 10.1 percent decline, it’s nevertheless still the worst contraction on record, IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker reports.

Likewise, fourth quarter results were slightly better than expected but the one bright spot -- emerging markets -- is also deteriorating as competition from other devices and economic pressures grow. Stateside and in other mature markets, the slight lift in Windows XP replacements fueled some improvement but IDC doesn’t expect that to last long.

Will Tablets Push Out PCs?

So, then, what’s the big picture? IDC just lowered overall PC growth projections for 2014 by just more than 2 percent. The firm also lowered growth expectations for subsequent years by less than 1 percent. However, the sum total essentially draws a goose egg, with long-term growth just below zero and pushes volumes below 300 million throughout the forecast.

"2014 will remain a challenging year for PC vendors in Asia as a cautious economic outlook means consumers will prioritize device purchases. At the same time, tectonic changes in politics will affect commercial spending in some of the major countries, like India, Indonesia, and Thailand, which are due to hold elections this year," said Andi Handoko, Research Manager for Client Devices, IDC Asia/Pacific. "The region is also seeing a void in public sector spending this year after huge education deals seen in India and Malaysia last year failed to materialize."

For additional analysis, we caught up with Roger Kay, a senior analyst at Endpoint Technologies Associates and former IDC analyst. He told us the forecast is reasonable.

“PCs will continue to decline, but they won’t go away. Tablets, phones, and other high-mobility devices won’t replace them entirely,” Kay said. “As Jon Peddie said, ‘A PC is a truck, and sometimes you need a truck.”

Kay is in the camp that expects PCs to evolve and take on more high-mobility characteristics. In fact, he noted, it’s already happening with Intel’s Ultrabooks. But the more truck-like uses -- such as workstations, “anti-mobility” machines for task workers and heavy duty keyboarding -- will be around for a long time.

“OEMs like Lenovo, Dell, and HP are doing their best to reduce their reliance on PCs, though,” Kay said. “Even Microsoft is investing in cloud services, gaming consoles, and other non-PC computing. They’re all struggling to adapt.” (continued...)

1  |  2  |  Next Page >

 

Tell Us What You Think
Comment:

Name:

Charles:

Posted: 2014-03-06 @ 6:36am PT
A lot of people have been running the same computer for over 10 years. Otherwise they would not be still using XP?

Charles:

Posted: 2014-03-06 @ 6:32am PT
Maybe it is a good thing that there are less desktops. I use my computer to watch TV and movies on the Internet, so no reason for that to be mobile as an HTPC. Some people like mobility and some people like desktop and some people like their smart phones. The other factor is people are basically Cheap. They are unwilling to pay $1500 for just a computer.



APC has an established a reputation for solid products that virtually pay for themselves upon installation. Who has time to spend worrying about system downtime? APC makes it easy for you to focus on business growth instead of business downtime with reliable data center systems and IT solutions. Learn more here.


 Microsoft/Windows
1.   Win Phone 8.1 Update Already on Way
2.   Yammer Moved to Office 365
3.   Can One Size Windows OS Fit All?
4.   Microsoft CEO Sees 'Bold' Plan Ahead
5.   Future of Laid-Off MS Employees


advertisement
Microsoft CEO Sees 'Bold' Plan Ahead
With unified Windows for all platforms.
Average Rating:
Design Central to Microsoft Future
New ethos a break from functional past.
Average Rating:
Bing Lets Europeans Be 'Forgotten'
Following in Google's footsteps.
Average Rating:
Product Information and Resources for Technology You Can Use To Boost Your Business

Network Security Spotlight
Canadian Government Charges China With Cyberattack
The government of Canada is not happy with China. Canadian officials have accused "a highly sophisticated Chinese state-sponsored actor" of launching a cyberattack on its National Research Council.
 
Researchers Working To Fix Tor Security Exploit
Developers for the Tor privacy browser are scrambling to fix a bug revealed Monday that researchers say could allow hackers, or government surveillance agencies, to track users online.
 
Wall Street Journal Hacked Again
Hacked again. That’s the story at the Wall Street Journal this week as the newspaper reports that the computer systems housing some of its news graphics were breached. Customers not affected -- yet.
 

Enterprise Hardware Spotlight
Apple Updates MacBook Pros, Cuts Prices Up to $100
The popular MacBook Pro laptop line just got an update and a price cut of as much as $100. The MacBook Pro with Retina display now includes faster processors and double the memory.
 
Watson Gets His First Customer Service Gig
Since appearing on Jeopardy, IBM's Watson supercomputer has been making a living using his super-intelligent knowledge base for business verticals. Now, Watson's been hired for his first customer service job.
 
Tablet Giants Apple and Samsung Feel the Heat
When a company saturates its home market with a once-hot product, expect it to pump up efforts elsewhere. Apple, for its part, is now pushing iPads to big corporations and the enterprise market.
 

Mobile Technology Spotlight
Android 'Fake ID' Puts Millions of Users at Risk
Having this fake ID is nothing to brag about, even if you are a minor. The “Fake ID” Android flaw drops malware into smartphone apps. It can steal credit card data and even take over your device.
 
FTC Wants Fix for 'Perfect Scam' of Mobile Cramming
The U.S. Federal Trade Commission has issued new guidelines to curb “mobile cramming,” a troublesome practice that adds unauthorized third-party charges to mobile phone bills.
 
Facebook: You Will Use Messenger, and You Will Like It
Starting this week, Facebook users with Android and iOS phones will be forced to use the separate Messenger app to send Facebook messages. Pending messages will still be visible in the main app.
 

Navigation
CRM Daily
Home/Top News | CRM Systems | Customer Service | Contact Centers | Business Intelligence | Sales & Marketing | Customer Data | CRM Press Releases
NewsFactor Network Enterprise I.T. Sites
NewsFactor Technology News | Enterprise Security Today | CRM Daily

NewsFactor Business and Innovation Sites
Sci-Tech Today | NewsFactor Business Report

NewsFactor Services
FreeNewsFeed | Free Newsletters

About NewsFactor Network | How To Contact Us | Article Reprints | Careers @ NewsFactor | Services for PR Pros | Top Tech Wire | How To Advertise

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service
© Copyright 2000-2014 NewsFactor Network. All rights reserved. Article rating technology by Blogowogo. Member of Accuserve Ad Network.